Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Hoek the pick at 48% for Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hoek face Sparta Nijkerk on 29 October 2026 at Sportpark Denoek, Hoek. Hoek are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This round of 64 fixture in KNVB Beker is listed as Hoek - Sparta Nijkerk. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Hoek: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored four and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Sparta Nijkerk: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Hoek | Sparta Nijkerk |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWL | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 9 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 32% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Hoek's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Hoek at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Sparta Nijkerk's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Hoek's way, especially at Sportpark Denoek.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hoek or Sparta Nijkerk?
Hoek, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Hoek, 21% the draw and 32% Sparta Nijkerk.
When and where is Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk being played?
29 October 2026 at Sportpark Denoek, Hoek, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hoek and Sparta Nijkerk?
Hoek have taken 4 points from their last five (LDLWL), Sparta Nijkerk 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently Hoek took a 1-3 defeat away at Quick Boys and Sparta Nijkerk a 2-0 win at home to Hoogeveen.
How many goals are expected in Hoek vs Sparta Nijkerk?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Hoek and 1.35 for Sparta Nijkerk. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.