Purmersteijn vs Gemert: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Purmersteijn the pick at 48% for Purmersteijn vs Gemert. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Purmersteijn face Gemert on 29 October 2026. Purmersteijn are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This round of 64 fixture in KNVB Beker is listed as Purmersteijn - Gemert. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Purmersteijn: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Gemert: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and two defeats from the last four, worth 6 points. Across those four they scored four and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Purmersteijn | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWLW | WLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 32% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Purmersteijn's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Purmersteijn at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Purmersteijn or Gemert?
Purmersteijn, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Purmersteijn, 21% the draw and 32% Gemert.
When and where is Purmersteijn vs Gemert being played?
29 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Purmersteijn and Gemert met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Purmersteijn and Gemert?
Purmersteijn have taken 10 points from their last five (WDWLW), Gemert 6 from theirs (WLLW). Most recently Purmersteijn took a 3-0 win at home to Sparta Nijkerk and Gemert a 2-0 win at home to Achilles Veen.
How many goals are expected in Purmersteijn vs Gemert?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Purmersteijn and 1.35 for Gemert. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.