Odisha vs NorthEast United: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes NorthEast United the pick at 42% for Odisha vs NorthEast United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
NorthEast United travel to Odisha on 24 October 2026 at Kalinga Stadium, Bhubaneswar. NorthEast United are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 3 fixture in Indian Super League is listed as Odisha - NorthEast United. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Odisha: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 17 conceded in ten matches, 1.1 and 1.7 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.1 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -1.
NorthEast United: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 13 conceded in nine matches, 1.56 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Odisha | NorthEast United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDLW | WWLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 11 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 10 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.56 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.7 | 1.56 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 28.1 | 46.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 42% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Odisha 28.1 versus NorthEast United 46.0, a gap of 17.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans NorthEast United's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards NorthEast United at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. NorthEast United's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Odisha or NorthEast United?
NorthEast United, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 31% Odisha, 28% the draw and 42% NorthEast United.
When and where is Odisha vs NorthEast United being played?
24 October 2026 at Kalinga Stadium, Bhubaneswar, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Odisha and NorthEast United?
NorthEast United 1-4 Odisha on 20 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Odisha and NorthEast United?
Odisha have taken 5 points from their last five (DLDLW), NorthEast United 10 from theirs (WWLDW). Most recently Odisha took a 1-1 draw away at Inter Kashi and NorthEast United a 4-1 win at home to Kerala Blasters.
How many goals are expected in Odisha vs NorthEast United?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.00 for Odisha and 2.60 for NorthEast United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.