NorthEast United vs Bengaluru: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes NorthEast United the pick at 46% for NorthEast United vs Bengaluru. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
NorthEast United face Bengaluru on 30 October 2026 at Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium, Guwahati. NorthEast United are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 4 fixture in Indian Super League is listed as NorthEast United - Bengaluru. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
NorthEast United: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 13 conceded in nine matches, 1.56 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +4.
Bengaluru: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 8 conceded in ten matches, 1.2 and 0.8 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | NorthEast United | Bengaluru |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 4th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLD | WWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 9 | 9 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 9 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.56 / 1.44 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.56 | 1.8 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.3 | 45.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 33% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: NorthEast United 49.3 versus Bengaluru 45.8, a gap of 3.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans NorthEast United's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to NorthEast United at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts NorthEast United's way, especially at Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NorthEast United or Bengaluru?
NorthEast United, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% NorthEast United, 21% the draw and 33% Bengaluru.
When and where is NorthEast United vs Bengaluru being played?
30 October 2026 at Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium, Guwahati, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have NorthEast United and Bengaluru met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of NorthEast United and Bengaluru?
NorthEast United have taken 8 points from their last five (DWWLD), Bengaluru 13 from theirs (WWWWD). Most recently NorthEast United took a 0-0 draw away at Odisha and Bengaluru a 2-0 win at home to Chennaiyin.
How many goals are expected in NorthEast United vs Bengaluru?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 2.60 for NorthEast United and 1.00 for Bengaluru. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.