Chennaiyin vs Kerala Blasters match summary and prediction — Indian Super League
Our model makes Kerala Blasters the pick at 44% for Chennaiyin vs Kerala Blasters. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Chennaiyin host Kerala Blasters on 31 October 2026 at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Chennai. Kerala Blasters are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This matchday 4 fixture in Indian Super League is listed as Chennaiyin - Kerala Blasters. Kick-off is 11:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Chennaiyin: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (6 scored and 17 conceded in ten matches, 0.6 and 1.7 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.6 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -3.
Kerala Blasters: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 13 conceded in ten matches, 1.4 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Chennaiyin | Kerala Blasters |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | DLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 10 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 10 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.6 | 38.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 33% | 44% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Chennaiyin 27.6 versus Kerala Blasters 38.1, a gap of 10.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Kerala Blasters' way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Kerala Blasters at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Kerala Blasters' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chennaiyin or Kerala Blasters?
Kerala Blasters, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 33% Chennaiyin, 22% the draw and 44% Kerala Blasters.
When and where is Chennaiyin vs Kerala Blasters being played?
31 October 2026 at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Chennai, kick-off 11:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Chennaiyin and Kerala Blasters?
Kerala Blasters 0-1 Chennaiyin on 07 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Chennaiyin and Kerala Blasters?
Chennaiyin have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Kerala Blasters 10 from theirs (DLWWW). Most recently Chennaiyin took a 0-1 defeat away at ATK Mohun Bagan and Kerala Blasters a 0-0 draw at home to Mumbai City.
How many goals are expected in Chennaiyin vs Kerala Blasters?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 0.60 for Chennaiyin and 1.60 for Kerala Blasters. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.