Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes NorthEast United the pick at 50% for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Churchill Brothers host NorthEast United on 5 November 2026. NorthEast United are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 4 fixture in Indian Super League is listed as Churchill Brothers - NorthEast United. Kick-off is 11:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Churchill Brothers: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Across those four they scored five and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.0 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -4.
NorthEast United: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored eight and conceded nine, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Churchill Brothers | NorthEast United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWD | DDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 9 | 8 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.0 | 52.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 25% | 50% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Churchill Brothers 34.0 versus NorthEast United 52.7, a gap of 18.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans NorthEast United's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to NorthEast United at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. NorthEast United's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Churchill Brothers or NorthEast United?
NorthEast United, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 25% Churchill Brothers, 26% the draw and 50% NorthEast United.
When and where is Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United being played?
5 November 2026, kick-off 11:30 UTC.
Have Churchill Brothers and NorthEast United met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Churchill Brothers and NorthEast United?
Churchill Brothers have taken 4 points from their last four (LLWD), NorthEast United 8 from theirs (DDWWL). Most recently Churchill Brothers took a 2-3 defeat at home to Minerva Punjab and NorthEast United a 1-1 draw at home to Bengaluru.
How many goals are expected in Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.00 for Churchill Brothers and 2.20 for NorthEast United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.