Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Shabab Al Ahli Dubai the pick at 47% for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai host Al-Ittihad Kalba on 30 October 2026 at Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 7 fixture in Pro League is listed as Shabab Al Ahli Dubai - Al-Ittihad Kalba. Kick-off is 15:35 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored ten and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +7.
Al-Ittihad Kalba: they come in on three successive draws, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored eight and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.6 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | Al-Ittihad Kalba |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 11th |
| Goal difference | +7 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWD | DDDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 5 | 8 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 60.1 | 36.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 60.1 versus Al-Ittihad Kalba 36.6, a gap of 23.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.27, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's way, especially at Al Rashid Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or Al-Ittihad Kalba?
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 28% the draw and 25% Al-Ittihad Kalba.
When and where is Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba being played?
30 October 2026 at Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai, kick-off 15:35 UTC.
Have Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Ittihad Kalba?
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWWD), Al-Ittihad Kalba 6 from theirs (DDDLW). Most recently Shabab Al Ahli Dubai took a 3-2 win at home to Al Ain and Al-Ittihad Kalba a 2-2 draw away at Al-Wasl FC.
How many goals are expected in Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Ittihad Kalba?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.27 — 1.60 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and 1.67 for Al-Ittihad Kalba. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.