Malmö FF W vs Ajax W match summary and prediction — UEFA Europa Cup - Women
Our model makes Malmö FF W the pick at 62% for Malmö FF W vs Ajax W. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Malmö FF W face Ajax W on 10 November 2026 at Eleda Stadion. Malmö FF W are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This round of 16 fixture in UEFA Europa Cup - Women is listed as Malmö FF W - Ajax W. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Malmö FF W: they come in on the back of a draw, following four wins before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Ajax W: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Malmö FF W | Ajax W |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWWW | WLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 8 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 62% | 16% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Malmö FF W's way at 65%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Malmö FF W at 62%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Malmö FF W's way, especially at Eleda Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Malmö FF W or Ajax W?
Malmö FF W, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 62% Malmö FF W, 22% the draw and 16% Ajax W.
When and where is Malmö FF W vs Ajax W being played?
10 November 2026 at Eleda Stadion, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Malmö FF W and Ajax W?
Ajax W 1-2 Malmö FF W on 28 October 2026.
What is the recent form of Malmö FF W and Ajax W?
Malmö FF W have taken 13 points from their last five (DWWWW), Ajax W 6 from theirs (WLLWL). Most recently Malmö FF W took a 1-1 draw at home to Norrköping W and Ajax W a 2-0 win at home to Twente W.
How many goals are expected in Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Malmö FF W and 1.00 for Ajax W. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.