Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Brechin the pick at 47% for Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Strathspey Thistle travel to Brechin on 24 October 2026. Brechin are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This round of 128 fixture in FA Cup is listed as Brechin - Strathspey Thistle. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Brechin: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Strathspey Thistle: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored nine and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Brechin | Strathspey Thistle |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLW | DDLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 9 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Brechin's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Brechin at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Brechin's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Brechin or Strathspey Thistle?
Brechin, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Brechin, 23% the draw and 30% Strathspey Thistle.
When and where is Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Brechin and Strathspey Thistle met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Brechin and Strathspey Thistle?
Brechin have taken 7 points from their last five (LDWLW), Strathspey Thistle 5 from theirs (DDLWL). Most recently Brechin took a 1-3 defeat away at Bo'ness United and Strathspey Thistle a 2-2 draw at home to Lossiemouth.
How many goals are expected in Brechin vs Strathspey Thistle?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Brechin and 1.35 for Strathspey Thistle. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.