Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts match summary and prediction — FA Cup
Our model makes Edinburgh City the pick at 47% for Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Edinburgh City face Kelty Hearts on 24 October 2026. Edinburgh City are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This round of 128 fixture in FA Cup is listed as Edinburgh City - Kelty Hearts. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Edinburgh City: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored one and conceded ten, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Kelty Hearts: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Edinburgh City | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLDL | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 10 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 30% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Edinburgh City's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Edinburgh City at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Kelty Hearts' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Edinburgh City or Kelty Hearts?
Edinburgh City, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Edinburgh City, 23% the draw and 30% Kelty Hearts.
When and where is Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Edinburgh City and Kelty Hearts?
Edinburgh City have taken 2 points from their last five (DLLDL), Kelty Hearts 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently Edinburgh City took a 0-0 draw away at Elgin City and Kelty Hearts a 2-1 win at home to Forfar Athletic.
How many goals are expected in Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Edinburgh City and 1.35 for Kelty Hearts. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.