Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic match summary and prediction — FA Cup
Our model makes Hill Of Beath Hawthorn the pick at 47% for Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn face Musselburgh Athletic on 24 October 2026. Hill Of Beath Hawthorn are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This round of 128 fixture in FA Cup is listed as Hill Of Beath Hawthorn - Musselburgh Athletic. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Musselburgh Athletic: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored three and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | Musselburgh Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWW | DWDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 2 | 3 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 30% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Hill Of Beath Hawthorn's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Hill Of Beath Hawthorn at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hill Of Beath Hawthorn or Musselburgh Athletic?
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Hill Of Beath Hawthorn, 23% the draw and 30% Musselburgh Athletic.
When and where is Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Hill Of Beath Hawthorn and Musselburgh Athletic met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hill Of Beath Hawthorn and Musselburgh Athletic?
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn have taken 13 points from their last five (WWDWW), Musselburgh Athletic 6 from theirs (DWDDL). Most recently Hill Of Beath Hawthorn took a 2-1 win away at Stirling University and Musselburgh Athletic a 0-0 draw away at Broxburn Athletic.
How many goals are expected in Hill Of Beath Hawthorn vs Musselburgh Athletic?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Hill Of Beath Hawthorn and 1.35 for Musselburgh Athletic. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.