Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Johnstone Burgh the pick at 47% for Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Johnstone Burgh face Formartine United on 24 October 2026. Johnstone Burgh are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This round of 128 fixture in FA Cup is listed as Johnstone Burgh - Formartine United. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Johnstone Burgh: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored ten and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Formartine United: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Johnstone Burgh | Formartine United |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLW | LLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 7 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Johnstone Burgh's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Johnstone Burgh at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Johnstone Burgh's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Johnstone Burgh or Formartine United?
Johnstone Burgh, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Johnstone Burgh, 23% the draw and 30% Formartine United.
When and where is Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Johnstone Burgh and Formartine United met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Johnstone Burgh and Formartine United?
Johnstone Burgh have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWLW), Formartine United 9 from theirs (LLWWW). Most recently Johnstone Burgh took a 2-2 draw away at Gretna 2008 and Formartine United a 1-2 defeat away at Wick Academy.
How many goals are expected in Johnstone Burgh vs Formartine United?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Johnstone Burgh and 1.35 for Formartine United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.