Stirling University vs Elgin City match summary and prediction — FA Cup
Our model makes Stirling University the pick at 47% for Stirling University vs Elgin City. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Elgin City travel to Stirling University on 24 October 2026. Stirling University are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This round of 128 fixture in FA Cup is listed as Stirling University - Elgin City. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Stirling University: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded twelve, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Elgin City: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Stirling University | Elgin City |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | DLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 12 | 9 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 30% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Stirling University's way at 56%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Stirling University at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Elgin City's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stirling University or Elgin City?
Stirling University, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Stirling University, 23% the draw and 30% Elgin City.
When and where is Stirling University vs Elgin City being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Stirling University and Elgin City met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Stirling University and Elgin City?
Stirling University have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Elgin City 10 from theirs (DLWWW). Most recently Stirling University took a 1-2 defeat at home to Hill Of Beath Hawthorn and Elgin City a 0-0 draw at home to Edinburgh City.
How many goals are expected in Stirling University vs Elgin City?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Stirling University and 1.35 for Elgin City. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.