Stranraer vs Tayport — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Stranraer the pick at 47% for Stranraer vs Tayport. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Tayport travel to Stranraer on 24 October 2026. Stranraer are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This round of 128 fixture in FA Cup is listed as Stranraer - Tayport. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Stranraer: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 15 and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Tayport: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Stranraer | Tayport |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDW | WLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 7 | 11 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Stranraer's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Stranraer at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Stranraer or Tayport?
Stranraer, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Stranraer, 23% the draw and 30% Tayport.
When and where is Stranraer vs Tayport being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Stranraer and Tayport met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Stranraer and Tayport?
Stranraer have taken 11 points from their last five (WDWDW), Tayport 9 from theirs (WLWWL). Most recently Stranraer took a 2-0 win away at Spartans and Tayport a 3-0 win at home to Wick Academy.
How many goals are expected in Stranraer vs Tayport?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Stranraer and 1.35 for Tayport. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.