Alcoyano vs Mallorca match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Mallorca the pick at 56% for Alcoyano vs Mallorca. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Alcoyano host Mallorca on 5 November 2026 at Estadio El Collao, Alcoy. Mallorca are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Alcoyano - Mallorca. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Alcoyano: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Mallorca: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Alcoyano | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | DDWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 20% | 56% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.55, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Mallorca's way at 64%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Mallorca at 56%, a gap of 32 percentage points to the next outcome. Mallorca's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Alcoyano or Mallorca?
Mallorca, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 20% Alcoyano, 24% the draw and 56% Mallorca.
When and where is Alcoyano vs Mallorca being played?
5 November 2026 at Estadio El Collao, Alcoy, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Alcoyano and Mallorca met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Alcoyano and Mallorca?
Alcoyano have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Mallorca 6 from theirs (DDWDL). Most recently Alcoyano took a 0-2 defeat away at Atlético Baleares and Mallorca a 1-1 draw away at Leganes.
How many goals are expected in Alcoyano vs Mallorca?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.55 — 1.35 for Alcoyano and 1.20 for Mallorca. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.