Anaitasuna vs Alaves match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Alaves the pick at 55% for Anaitasuna vs Alaves. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Anaitasuna host Alaves on 3 November 2026 at Campo Txerloia, Azcoitia. Alaves are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Anaitasuna - Alaves. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Anaitasuna: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored 15 and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Alaves: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored three and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Anaitasuna | Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLWL | DLLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 9 | 3 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 21% | 55% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.95, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Alaves' way at 65%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Alaves at 55%, a gap of 31 percentage points to the next outcome. Anaitasuna's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Anaitasuna or Alaves?
Alaves, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 21% Anaitasuna, 24% the draw and 55% Alaves.
When and where is Anaitasuna vs Alaves being played?
3 November 2026 at Campo Txerloia, Azcoitia, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Anaitasuna and Alaves met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Anaitasuna and Alaves?
Anaitasuna have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLWL), Alaves 2 from theirs (DLLDL). Most recently Anaitasuna took a 5-2 win away at Tedeón and Alaves a 1-1 draw at home to Malaga.
How many goals are expected in Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.95 — 1.35 for Anaitasuna and 1.60 for Alaves. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.