Antequera vs Águilas: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Antequera the pick at 48% for Antequera vs Águilas. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Antequera host Águilas on 29 October 2026. Antequera are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Antequera - Águilas. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Antequera: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored eight and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Águilas: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Antequera | Águilas |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDDW | DLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 5 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Antequera's way at 51%.
The call
The model tilts to Antequera at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Antequera or Águilas?
Antequera, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Antequera, 22% the draw and 30% Águilas.
When and where is Antequera vs Águilas being played?
29 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Antequera and Águilas met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Antequera and Águilas?
Antequera have taken 6 points from their last five (DLDDW), Águilas 2 from theirs (DLDLL). Most recently Antequera took a 1-1 draw away at Huesca and Águilas a 1-1 draw away at Teruel.
How many goals are expected in Antequera vs Águilas?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Antequera and 1.35 for Águilas. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.