Arosa vs Pontevedra — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Arosa the pick at 48% for Arosa vs Pontevedra. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Arosa face Pontevedra on 27 October 2026. Arosa are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Arosa - Pontevedra. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Arosa: they come in on the back of a win, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored ten and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Pontevedra: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Arosa | Pontevedra |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDLD | WLLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 10 | 4 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 30% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Arosa's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Arosa at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Arosa or Pontevedra?
Arosa, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Arosa, 22% the draw and 30% Pontevedra.
When and where is Arosa vs Pontevedra being played?
27 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Arosa and Pontevedra met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Arosa and Pontevedra?
Arosa have taken 6 points from their last five (WDDLD), Pontevedra 5 from theirs (WLLDD). Most recently Arosa took a 4-1 win at home to Llanera and Pontevedra a 1-0 win at home to Cacereño.
How many goals are expected in Arosa vs Pontevedra?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Arosa and 1.35 for Pontevedra. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.