Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Deportivo La Coruna the pick at 43% for Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Auriense face Deportivo La Coruna on 29 October 2026. Deportivo La Coruna are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Auriense - Deportivo La Coruna. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Auriense: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and one defeat from the last two, worth 3 points. Across those two they scored two and conceded one, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Deportivo La Coruna: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Auriense | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LW | LDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 1 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 43% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.75, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Deportivo La Coruna's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Deportivo La Coruna at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Auriense's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Auriense or Deportivo La Coruna?
Deportivo La Coruna, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 31% Auriense, 26% the draw and 43% Deportivo La Coruna.
When and where is Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna being played?
29 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Auriense and Deportivo La Coruna met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Auriense and Deportivo La Coruna?
Auriense have taken 3 points from their last two (LW), Deportivo La Coruna 2 from theirs (LDLLD). Most recently Auriense took a 0-1 defeat away at CD San Jose and Deportivo La Coruna a 0-1 defeat away at Atletico Madrid.
How many goals are expected in Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.75 — 1.35 for Auriense and 1.40 for Deportivo La Coruna. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.