Badajoz vs Tenerife match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Badajoz the pick at 42% for Badajoz vs Tenerife. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Badajoz face Tenerife on 4 November 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz. Badajoz are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Badajoz - Tenerife. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Badajoz: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored four and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Tenerife: they come in on three successive draws, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, four draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Badajoz | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWDD | DDDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 2 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.68, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Tenerife's way at 46%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Badajoz at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Badajoz's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Badajoz's way, especially at Estadio Nuevo Vivero.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Badajoz or Tenerife?
Badajoz, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Badajoz, 25% the draw and 34% Tenerife.
When and where is Badajoz vs Tenerife being played?
4 November 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Badajoz and Tenerife met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Badajoz and Tenerife?
Badajoz have taken 9 points from their last five (DWWDD), Tenerife 4 from theirs (DDDLD). Most recently Badajoz took a 0-0 draw away at Puente Genil and Tenerife a 1-1 draw away at Sabadell.
How many goals are expected in Badajoz vs Tenerife?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.68 — 1.35 for Badajoz and 1.33 for Tenerife. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.