Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Ciudad de Lucena the pick at 48% for Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ciudad de Lucena host Rayo Majadahonda on 27 October 2026. Ciudad de Lucena are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Ciudad de Lucena - Rayo Majadahonda. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ciudad de Lucena: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored ten and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Rayo Majadahonda: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored two and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ciudad de Lucena | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | LLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 4 | 2 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Ciudad de Lucena's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Ciudad de Lucena at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Ciudad de Lucena's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ciudad de Lucena or Rayo Majadahonda?
Ciudad de Lucena, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Ciudad de Lucena, 22% the draw and 30% Rayo Majadahonda.
When and where is Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda being played?
27 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Ciudad de Lucena and Rayo Majadahonda met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ciudad de Lucena and Rayo Majadahonda?
Ciudad de Lucena have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), Rayo Majadahonda 3 from theirs (LLLLW). Most recently Ciudad de Lucena took a 1-0 win away at Xerez and Rayo Majadahonda a 0-1 defeat away at Real Jaén.
How many goals are expected in Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Ciudad de Lucena and 1.35 for Rayo Majadahonda. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.