Conquense vs Castellón match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Castellón the pick at 61% for Conquense vs Castellón. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Conquense host Castellón on 29 October 2026. Castellón are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Conquense - Castellón. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Conquense: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Castellón: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Conquense | Castellón |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLWW | WLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 6 | 11 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 20% | 61% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.15, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Castellón's way at 64%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Castellón at 61%, a gap of 41 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Conquense or Castellón?
Castellón, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 20% Conquense, 18% the draw and 61% Castellón.
When and where is Conquense vs Castellón being played?
29 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Conquense and Castellón met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Conquense and Castellón?
Conquense have taken 10 points from their last five (DWLWW), Castellón 10 from theirs (WLDWW). Most recently Conquense took a 2-2 draw at home to Atlético Paso and Castellón a 3-0 win away at Las Palmas.
How many goals are expected in Conquense vs Castellón?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.15 — 1.35 for Conquense and 1.80 for Castellón. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.