Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Sporting Gijon the pick at 45% for Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Guijuelo face Sporting Gijon on 29 October 2026. Sporting Gijon are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Guijuelo - Sporting Gijon. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Guijuelo: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and two defeats from the last four, worth 6 points. Across those four they scored eight and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Sporting Gijon: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored nine and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Guijuelo | Sporting Gijon |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLL | WWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 4 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 45% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.95, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Sporting Gijon's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Sporting Gijon at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Guijuelo or Sporting Gijon?
Sporting Gijon, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 32% Guijuelo, 22% the draw and 45% Sporting Gijon.
When and where is Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon being played?
29 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon?
Guijuelo have taken 6 points from their last four (WWLL), Sporting Gijon 12 from theirs (WWWLW). Most recently Guijuelo took a 5-1 win at home to La Virgen del Camino and Sporting Gijon a 2-1 win at home to Albacete.
How many goals are expected in Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.95 — 1.35 for Guijuelo and 1.60 for Sporting Gijon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.