Laredo vs Burgos match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Burgos the pick at 47% for Laredo vs Burgos. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Laredo face Burgos on 29 October 2026. Burgos are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Laredo - Burgos. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Laredo: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 15 and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Burgos: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Laredo | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 2 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 4 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 47% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.75, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Burgos' way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Burgos at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Laredo or Burgos?
Burgos, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 28% Laredo, 25% the draw and 47% Burgos.
When and where is Laredo vs Burgos being played?
29 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Laredo and Burgos met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Laredo and Burgos?
Laredo have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Burgos 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently Laredo took a 4-2 win at home to Guarnizo and Burgos a 1-0 win at home to Sabadell.
How many goals are expected in Laredo vs Burgos?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.75 — 1.35 for Laredo and 1.40 for Burgos. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.