Llanera vs Ponferradina — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Llanera the pick at 48% for Llanera vs Ponferradina. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ponferradina travel to Llanera on 27 October 2026. Llanera are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Llanera - Ponferradina. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Llanera: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Ponferradina: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Llanera | Ponferradina |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWL | DLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 12 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Llanera's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Llanera at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Llanera or Ponferradina?
Llanera, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Llanera, 22% the draw and 30% Ponferradina.
When and where is Llanera vs Ponferradina being played?
27 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Llanera and Ponferradina met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Llanera and Ponferradina?
Llanera have taken 7 points from their last five (LWDWL), Ponferradina 8 from theirs (DLWDW). Most recently Llanera took a 1-4 defeat away at Arosa and Ponferradina a 1-1 draw away at Zamora.
How many goals are expected in Llanera vs Ponferradina?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Llanera and 1.35 for Ponferradina. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.