Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the pick at 48% for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Mijas Las Lagunas face Real Jaén on 10 November 2026. Mijas Las Lagunas are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Mijas Las Lagunas - Real Jaén. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Mijas Las Lagunas: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Real Jaén: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eight and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Mijas Las Lagunas | Real Jaén |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWD | WDWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 8 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 31% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Mijas Las Lagunas' way at 49%.
The call
The model tilts to Mijas Las Lagunas at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Mijas Las Lagunas or Real Jaén?
Mijas Las Lagunas, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Mijas Las Lagunas, 21% the draw and 31% Real Jaén.
When and where is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén being played?
10 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Mijas Las Lagunas and Real Jaén?
Mijas Las Lagunas have taken 9 points from their last five (DDWWD), Real Jaén 9 from theirs (WDWDD). Most recently Mijas Las Lagunas took a 0-0 draw away at Marbella and Real Jaén a 3-2 win at home to Algeciras.
How many goals are expected in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Mijas Las Lagunas and 1.35 for Real Jaén. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.