Pinatar vs Elche match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Elche the pick at 45% for Pinatar vs Elche. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Elche travel to Pinatar on 27 October 2026. Elche are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Pinatar - Elche. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Pinatar: they come in on a two-match winning sequence. That is two wins, no draws and no defeats from the last two, worth 6 points. Across those two they scored eleven and conceded no, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Elche: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Pinatar | Elche |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WW | DDWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 0 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 45% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.75, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Elche's way at 52%.
The call
The model tilts to Elche at 45%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Pinatar or Elche?
Elche, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 30% Pinatar, 25% the draw and 45% Elche.
When and where is Pinatar vs Elche being played?
27 October 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Pinatar and Elche met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Pinatar and Elche?
Pinatar have taken 6 points from their last two (WW), Elche 6 from theirs (DDWLD). Most recently Pinatar took a 3-0 win away at Atlético Melilla and Elche a 0-0 draw away at Villarreal.
How many goals are expected in Pinatar vs Elche?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.75 — 1.35 for Pinatar and 1.40 for Elche. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.