Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Rayo Vallecano the pick at 62% for Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Recreativo Huelva face Rayo Vallecano on 27 October 2026 at Nuevo Colombino, Huelva. Rayo Vallecano are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Recreativo Huelva - Rayo Vallecano. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Recreativo Huelva: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Rayo Vallecano: they come in on three successive draws, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Recreativo Huelva | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDDW | DDDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 5 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 20% | 62% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.95, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Rayo Vallecano's way at 64%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Rayo Vallecano at 62%, a gap of 42 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Recreativo Huelva or Rayo Vallecano?
Rayo Vallecano, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 20% Recreativo Huelva, 18% the draw and 62% Rayo Vallecano.
When and where is Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano being played?
27 October 2026 at Nuevo Colombino, Huelva, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Recreativo Huelva and Rayo Vallecano?
Recreativo Huelva have taken 6 points from their last five (LDDDW), Rayo Vallecano 6 from theirs (DDDWL). Most recently Recreativo Huelva took a 0-3 defeat at home to San Roque Lepe and Rayo Vallecano a 1-1 draw away at Getafe.
How many goals are expected in Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.95 — 1.35 for Recreativo Huelva and 1.60 for Rayo Vallecano. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.