Reddis vs Barakaldo: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Reddis the pick at 48% for Reddis vs Barakaldo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Reddis face Barakaldo on 4 November 2026 at Estadi Municipal de Reus, Reus. Reddis are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Reddis - Barakaldo. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Reddis: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Barakaldo: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Reddis | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWLW | DWLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 7 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Reddis' way at 49%.
The call
The model tilts to Reddis at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Reddis's way, especially at Estadi Municipal de Reus.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Reddis or Barakaldo?
Reddis, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Reddis, 21% the draw and 31% Barakaldo.
When and where is Reddis vs Barakaldo being played?
4 November 2026 at Estadi Municipal de Reus, Reus, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have Reddis and Barakaldo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Reddis and Barakaldo?
Reddis have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWLW), Barakaldo 6 from theirs (DWLDD). Most recently Reddis took a 1-1 draw away at Peña Sport and Barakaldo a 0-0 draw away at Ponferradina.
How many goals are expected in Reddis vs Barakaldo?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Reddis and 1.35 for Barakaldo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.