Utebo vs Sabadell: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Utebo the pick at 43% for Utebo vs Sabadell. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Utebo face Sabadell on 4 November 2026 at Campo Santa Ana, Utebo. Utebo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Utebo - Sabadell. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Utebo: they come in on the back of a draw, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored three and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Sabadell: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded four, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Utebo | Sabadell |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDDL | DLWDD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 5 | 4 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 36% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Sabadell's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Utebo at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Sabadell's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Utebo's way, especially at Campo Santa Ana.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Utebo or Sabadell?
Utebo, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Utebo, 22% the draw and 36% Sabadell.
When and where is Utebo vs Sabadell being played?
4 November 2026 at Campo Santa Ana, Utebo, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have Utebo and Sabadell met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Utebo and Sabadell?
Utebo have taken 3 points from their last five (DLDDL), Sabadell 6 from theirs (DLWDD). Most recently Utebo took a 1-1 draw at home to UD Logroñés II and Sabadell a 1-1 draw at home to Tenerife.
How many goals are expected in Utebo vs Sabadell?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.35 for Utebo and 1.00 for Sabadell. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.