Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Alianza Atletico face Sporting Cristal on 15 November 2026 at Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana. Sporting Cristal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This final fixture in Copa De La Liga is listed as Alianza Atletico - Sporting Cristal. Kick-off is 21:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Alianza Atletico: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (36 scored and 50 conceded in 32 matches, 1.12 and 1.56 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Sporting Cristal: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (64 scored and 56 conceded in 39 matches, 1.64 and 1.44 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Alianza Atletico | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLL | DWWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 12 | 14 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 32 | 39 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.12 / 1.56 | 1.64 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.12 | 1.36 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Alianza Atletico's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Sporting Cristal is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Alianza Atletico or Sporting Cristal?
Sporting Cristal, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 37% Alianza Atletico, 23% the draw and 40% Sporting Cristal.
When and where is Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal being played?
15 November 2026 at Estadio Campeones del 36, Sullana, kick-off 21:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal?
Sporting Cristal 3-1 Alianza Atletico on 07 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Atletico have taken 6 points from their last five (LWWLL), Sporting Cristal 10 from theirs (DWWLW). Most recently Alianza Atletico took a 0-2 defeat away at FC Cajamarca and Sporting Cristal a 1-1 draw away at ADT.
How many goals are expected in Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.20 for Alianza Atletico and 2.80 for Sporting Cristal. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.