Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá match summary and prediction — Primera División
Our model makes Nacional Potosí the pick at 57% for Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Nacional Potosí host Guabirá on 26 October 2026. Nacional Potosí are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This apertura 23 fixture in Primera División is listed as Nacional Potosí - Guabirá. Kick-off is 22:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Nacional Potosí: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored nine and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +1.
Guabirá: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Nacional Potosí | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWW | DLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 7 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 39.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Nacional Potosí 48.6 versus Guabirá 39.2, a gap of 9.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.07, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Nacional Potosí's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Nacional Potosí at 57%, a gap of 34 percentage points to the next outcome. Guabirá's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Nacional Potosí or Guabirá?
Nacional Potosí, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Nacional Potosí, 20% the draw and 23% Guabirá.
When and where is Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá being played?
26 October 2026, kick-off 22:00 UTC.
Have Nacional Potosí and Guabirá met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Nacional Potosí and Guabirá?
Nacional Potosí have taken 7 points from their last five (LLDWW), Guabirá 7 from theirs (DLWWL). Most recently Nacional Potosí took a 2-3 defeat away at Oriente Petrolero and Guabirá a 1-1 draw at home to Oriente Petrolero.
How many goals are expected in Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.07 — 1.40 for Nacional Potosí and 0.67 for Guabirá. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.