Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Independiente Petrolero the pick at 41% for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Real Tomayapo travel to Independiente Petrolero on 6 November 2026. Independiente Petrolero are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This apertura 25 fixture in Primera División is listed as Independiente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo. Kick-off is 23:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Independiente Petrolero: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -8.
Real Tomayapo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored one and conceded nine, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.3 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -24.
Side by side
| Statistic | Independiente Petrolero | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -24 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWDL | LWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 5 | 1 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.7 | 32.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Independiente Petrolero 39.7 versus Real Tomayapo 32.3, a gap of 7.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.75, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Independiente Petrolero's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Independiente Petrolero at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Independiente Petrolero's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Independiente Petrolero or Real Tomayapo?
Independiente Petrolero, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Independiente Petrolero, 25% the draw and 34% Real Tomayapo.
When and where is Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo being played?
6 November 2026, kick-off 23:00 UTC.
Have Independiente Petrolero and Real Tomayapo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Independiente Petrolero and Real Tomayapo?
Independiente Petrolero have taken 8 points from their last five (DWWDL), Real Tomayapo 4 from theirs (LWDLL). Most recently Independiente Petrolero took a 1-1 draw away at Real Potosí and Real Tomayapo a 0-1 defeat away at Aurora.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.75 — 1.00 for Independiente Petrolero and 0.75 for Real Tomayapo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.