Hortaleza vs Sevilla match summary and prediction — Copa del Rey
Our model makes Sevilla the pick at 45% for Hortaleza vs Sevilla. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Hortaleza face Sevilla on 29 October 2026. Sevilla are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This round of 128 fixture in Copa del Rey is listed as Hortaleza - Sevilla. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hortaleza: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win before that. That is one win, one draw and no defeats from the last two, worth 4 points. Across those two they scored four and conceded three, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Sevilla: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored seven and conceded 13, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Hortaleza | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DW | LDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 3 | 7 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 26% | 45% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.95, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Sevilla's way at 55%.
The call
The model edges towards Sevilla at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Hortaleza's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hortaleza or Sevilla?
Sevilla, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 26% Hortaleza, 29% the draw and 45% Sevilla.
When and where is Hortaleza vs Sevilla being played?
29 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Hortaleza and Sevilla met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Hortaleza and Sevilla?
Hortaleza have taken 4 points from their last two (DW), Sevilla 4 from theirs (LDLLW). Most recently Hortaleza took a 3-3 draw away at Güímar and Sevilla a 1-4 defeat away at Real Madrid.
How many goals are expected in Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.95 — 1.35 for Hortaleza and 0.60 for Sevilla. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.