England U21 vs Portugal U21: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes England U21 the pick at 46% for England U21 vs Portugal U21. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
England U21 host Portugal U21 on 13 November 2026 at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol. England U21 are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This friendly international fixture in Friendlies is listed as England U21 - Portugal U21. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
England U21: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Portugal U21: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored 14 and conceded two, with four clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | England U21 | Portugal U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWD | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 7 | 14 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 29% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans England U21's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to England U21 at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts England U21's way, especially at Ashton Gate Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: England U21 or Portugal U21?
England U21, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% England U21, 25% the draw and 29% Portugal U21.
When and where is England U21 vs Portugal U21 being played?
13 November 2026 at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Have England U21 and Portugal U21 met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of England U21 and Portugal U21?
England U21 have taken 8 points from their last five (LDWWD), Portugal U21 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently England U21 took a 1-3 defeat away at Republic of Ireland U21 and Portugal U21 a 2-0 win at home to Czech Republic U21.
How many goals are expected in England U21 vs Portugal U21?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for England U21 and 1.35 for Portugal U21. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.