Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Volga Ulyanovsk the pick at 53% for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Chertanovo Moscow travel to Volga Ulyanovsk on 4 November 2026. Volga Ulyanovsk are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This regions path Final fixture in Cup is listed as Volga Ulyanovsk - Chertanovo Moscow. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Volga Ulyanovsk: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Chertanovo Moscow: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those four they scored five and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Volga Ulyanovsk | Chertanovo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDDW | WWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 4 | 5 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 21% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 41%.
- First goal: Leans Volga Ulyanovsk's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Volga Ulyanovsk at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Volga Ulyanovsk or Chertanovo Moscow?
Volga Ulyanovsk, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Volga Ulyanovsk, 26% the draw and 21% Chertanovo Moscow.
When and where is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow being played?
4 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Volga Ulyanovsk and Chertanovo Moscow met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Volga Ulyanovsk and Chertanovo Moscow?
Volga Ulyanovsk have taken 11 points from their last five (WWDDW), Chertanovo Moscow 9 from theirs (WWWL). Most recently Volga Ulyanovsk took a 1-0 win at home to Veles and Chertanovo Moscow a 1-0 win away at Dinamo Vologda.
How many goals are expected in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Moscow?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.00 for Chertanovo Moscow. It rates over 2.5 goals at 36%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 41%, so its call is no.