Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Bristol Rovers the pick at 44% for Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bristol Rovers face Cambridge United on 7 November 2026 at Memorial Stadium, Bristol. Bristol Rovers are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Bristol Rovers: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 7 conceded in seven matches, 0.57 and 1.0 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Cambridge United: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 12 conceded in seven matches, 1.57 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLL | LDLDW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 9 | 7 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.57 / 1.0 | 1.57 / 1.71 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.0 | 1.57 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Bristol Rovers' way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Bristol Rovers at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bristol Rovers's way, especially at Memorial Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bristol Rovers or Cambridge United?
Bristol Rovers, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Bristol Rovers, 24% the draw and 32% Cambridge United.
When and where is Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United being played?
7 November 2026 at Memorial Stadium, Bristol, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Bristol Rovers and Cambridge United?
Cambridge United 3-1 Bristol Rovers on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Cambridge United?
Bristol Rovers have taken 1 points from their last five (LDLLL), Cambridge United 5 from theirs (LDLDW). Most recently Bristol Rovers took a 1-3 defeat away at Fleetwood Town and Cambridge United a 0-3 defeat away at Leyton Orient.
How many goals are expected in Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.40 for Bristol Rovers and 1.40 for Cambridge United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.