Carlisle vs Salford City: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Salford City the pick at 56% for Carlisle vs Salford City. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Carlisle host Salford City on 7 November 2026 at Brunton Park, Carlisle. Salford City are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Carlisle - Salford City. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Carlisle: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Salford City: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Carlisle | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWD | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 4 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 24% | 56% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.75, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Salford City's way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Salford City at 56%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Carlisle or Salford City?
Salford City, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 24% Carlisle, 20% the draw and 56% Salford City.
When and where is Carlisle vs Salford City being played?
7 November 2026 at Brunton Park, Carlisle, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Carlisle and Salford City met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Carlisle and Salford City?
Carlisle have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWWD), Salford City 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Carlisle took a 4-2 win away at Altrincham and Salford City a 2-1 win at home to Exeter City.
How many goals are expected in Carlisle vs Salford City?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.75 — 1.35 for Carlisle and 2.40 for Salford City. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.