Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Crewe the pick at 54% for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
AFC Wimbledon travel to Crewe on 7 November 2026 at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe. Crewe are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Crewe - AFC Wimbledon. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Crewe: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 11 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.83 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
AFC Wimbledon: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Crewe | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLWW | LLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 3 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.83 | 1.14 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 23% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Crewe's way at 62%.
The call
The model tilts to Crewe at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Crewe's way, especially at Alexandra Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Crewe or AFC Wimbledon?
Crewe, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Crewe, 23% the draw and 23% AFC Wimbledon.
When and where is Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon being played?
7 November 2026 at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Crewe and AFC Wimbledon met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Crewe and AFC Wimbledon?
Crewe have taken 7 points from their last five (DLLWW), AFC Wimbledon 1 from theirs (LLDLL). Most recently Crewe took a 1-1 draw at home to Barnet and AFC Wimbledon a 1-2 defeat away at Stockport County.
How many goals are expected in Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Crewe and 1.20 for AFC Wimbledon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.