Dover vs Wealdstone match summary and prediction — FA Cup
Our model makes Dover the pick at 48% for Dover vs Wealdstone. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Dover face Wealdstone on 7 November 2026. Dover are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Dover - Wealdstone. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dover: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Wealdstone: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded five, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Dover | Wealdstone |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDWD | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.70, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Dover's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Dover at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dover or Wealdstone?
Dover, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Dover, 21% the draw and 31% Wealdstone.
When and where is Dover vs Wealdstone being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Dover and Wealdstone met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Dover and Wealdstone?
Dover have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDWD), Wealdstone 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently Dover took a 1-0 win at home to Farnham Town and Wealdstone a 3-2 win at home to Southend.
How many goals are expected in Dover vs Wealdstone?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.70 — 1.35 for Dover and 1.35 for Wealdstone. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.