Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Shrewsbury the pick at 41% for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Shrewsbury travel to Eastleigh on 7 November 2026 at Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh. Shrewsbury are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Eastleigh - Shrewsbury. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Eastleigh: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Shrewsbury: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Eastleigh | Shrewsbury |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWL | LWDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 9 | 10 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 41% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.15, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Shrewsbury's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Shrewsbury at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Eastleigh or Shrewsbury?
Shrewsbury, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 36% Eastleigh, 23% the draw and 41% Shrewsbury.
When and where is Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury being played?
7 November 2026 at Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Eastleigh and Shrewsbury met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Eastleigh and Shrewsbury?
Eastleigh have taken 7 points from their last five (DLWWL), Shrewsbury 10 from theirs (LWDWW). Most recently Eastleigh took a 1-1 draw away at Barrow and Shrewsbury a 1-2 defeat at home to Gillingham.
How many goals are expected in Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.15 — 1.35 for Eastleigh and 1.80 for Shrewsbury. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.