Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Fleetwood Town the pick at 68% for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Fleetwood Town face Rochdale on 7 November 2026 at Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood. Fleetwood Town are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 68%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Fleetwood Town - Rochdale. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Fleetwood Town: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 6 conceded in eight matches, 1.5 and 0.75 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Rochdale: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 17 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 2.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Fleetwood Town | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLW | LLDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 7 / 15 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 0.75 | 1.14 / 2.43 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.88 | 0.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 68% | 13% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Fleetwood Town's way at 68%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Fleetwood Town at 68%, a gap of 49 percentage points to the next outcome. Fleetwood Town's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Fleetwood Town's way, especially at Highbury Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fleetwood Town or Rochdale?
Fleetwood Town, with an implied win probability of roughly 68%. The full split is 68% Fleetwood Town, 19% the draw and 13% Rochdale.
When and where is Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale being played?
7 November 2026 at Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Fleetwood Town and Rochdale met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Fleetwood Town and Rochdale?
Fleetwood Town have taken 7 points from their last five (WDLLW), Rochdale 2 from theirs (LLDLD). Most recently Fleetwood Town took a 3-1 win at home to Bristol Rovers and Rochdale a 2-4 defeat away at Port Vale.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Fleetwood Town and 1.20 for Rochdale. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.