AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Blackpool the pick at 47% for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
AFC Hornchurch host Blackpool on 7 November 2026 at Hornchurch Stadium, London. Blackpool are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as AFC Hornchurch - Blackpool. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
AFC Hornchurch: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two wins before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored nine and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Blackpool: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Comparison data
| Statistic | AFC Hornchurch | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWW | DWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 7 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 47% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.95, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Blackpool's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Blackpool at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Blackpool's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: AFC Hornchurch or Blackpool?
Blackpool, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 32% AFC Hornchurch, 22% the draw and 47% Blackpool.
When and where is AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool being played?
7 November 2026 at Hornchurch Stadium, London, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have AFC Hornchurch and Blackpool met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of AFC Hornchurch and Blackpool?
AFC Hornchurch have taken 6 points from their last five (LLLWW), Blackpool 7 from theirs (DWLWL). Most recently AFC Hornchurch took a 1-3 defeat away at AFC Fylde and Blackpool a 1-1 draw away at Sheffield Wednesday.
How many goals are expected in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.95 — 1.35 for AFC Hornchurch and 1.60 for Blackpool. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.