Newport County vs Walsall: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Newport County and Walsall on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Newport County face Walsall on 7 November 2026 at Rodney Parade, Newport. Newport County are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Newport County - Walsall. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Newport County: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Walsall: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.33 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Newport County | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDDW | WLWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 12 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 1.17 | 1.33 / 1.17 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.83 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 37% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Newport County's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Newport County is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Newport County's way, especially at Rodney Parade.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Newport County or Walsall?
Newport County, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Newport County, 24% the draw and 37% Walsall.
When and where is Newport County vs Walsall being played?
7 November 2026 at Rodney Parade, Newport, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Newport County and Walsall?
Walsall 2-1 Newport County on 21 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Newport County and Walsall?
Newport County have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDDW), Walsall 10 from theirs (WLWDW). Most recently Newport County took a 4-1 win at home to Chesterfield and Walsall a 3-1 win away at Colchester.
How many goals are expected in Newport County vs Walsall?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Newport County and 1.40 for Walsall. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.