Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Oldham the pick at 52% for Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sheffield Wednesday travel to Oldham on 8 November 2026 at Boundary Park, Oldham. Oldham are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Oldham - Sheffield Wednesday. Kick-off is 17:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Oldham: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (4 scored and 9 conceded in seven matches, 0.57 and 1.29 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Sheffield Wednesday: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 6 conceded in seven matches, 1.0 and 0.86 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Oldham | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDLW | DDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 6 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.57 / 1.29 | 1.0 / 0.86 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.71 | 1.71 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 24% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 66%.
- First goal: Leans Oldham's way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Oldham at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Oldham's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Oldham's way, especially at Boundary Park.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Oldham or Sheffield Wednesday?
Oldham, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Oldham, 24% the draw and 24% Sheffield Wednesday.
When and where is Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday being played?
8 November 2026 at Boundary Park, Oldham, kick-off 17:15 UTC.
Have Oldham and Sheffield Wednesday met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Oldham and Sheffield Wednesday?
Oldham have taken 7 points from their last five (WLDLW), Sheffield Wednesday 5 from theirs (DDLLW). Most recently Oldham took a 1-0 win away at Northampton and Sheffield Wednesday a 1-1 draw at home to Blackpool.
How many goals are expected in Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 0.60 for Oldham and 0.80 for Sheffield Wednesday. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 66%, so its call is yes.