Oxford City vs Leicester: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Leicester the pick at 48% for Oxford City vs Leicester. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Leicester travel to Oxford City on 6 November 2026 at RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford. Leicester are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Oxford City - Leicester. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Oxford City: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Leicester: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Oxford City | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDWW | DWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 4 | 12 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 48% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Leicester's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Leicester at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Oxford City or Leicester?
Leicester, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 28% Oxford City, 23% the draw and 48% Leicester.
When and where is Oxford City vs Leicester being played?
6 November 2026 at RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Oxford City and Leicester met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Oxford City and Leicester?
Oxford City have taken 10 points from their last five (LWDWW), Leicester 10 from theirs (DWLWW). Most recently Oxford City took a 1-3 defeat at home to South Shields and Leicester a 2-2 draw at home to Stevenage.
How many goals are expected in Oxford City vs Leicester?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 1.35 for Oxford City and 2.00 for Leicester. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.