Port Vale vs Scunthorpe match summary and prediction — FA Cup
Our model makes Port Vale the pick at 65% for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Port Vale host Scunthorpe on 7 November 2026 at Vale Park, Stoke on Trent. Port Vale are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 65%. This 1/128 finals fixture in FA Cup is listed as Port Vale - Scunthorpe. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Port Vale: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Scunthorpe: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored nine and conceded twelve, with none clean sheets. That gives them a form rating of 25.0 out of 100.
Side by side
| Statistic | Port Vale | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLDW | LLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 5 | 9 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 65% | 18% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Port Vale's way at 65%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Port Vale at 65%, a gap of 47 percentage points to the next outcome. Port Vale's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Port Vale's way, especially at Vale Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Port Vale or Scunthorpe?
Port Vale, with an implied win probability of roughly 65%. The full split is 65% Port Vale, 17% the draw and 18% Scunthorpe.
When and where is Port Vale vs Scunthorpe being played?
7 November 2026 at Vale Park, Stoke on Trent, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Port Vale and Scunthorpe met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Port Vale and Scunthorpe?
Port Vale have taken 10 points from their last five (WWLDW), Scunthorpe 4 from theirs (LLLWD). Most recently Port Vale took a 4-2 win at home to Rochdale and Scunthorpe a 1-2 defeat away at Boston United.
How many goals are expected in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 2.00 for Port Vale and 1.35 for Scunthorpe. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.