Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Renaissance Berkane travel to Maghreb Fès on 29 October 2026. Maghreb Fès are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 37%. This matchday 5 fixture in Botola Pro is listed as Maghreb Fès - Renaissance Berkane. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Maghreb Fès: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 8 conceded in eleven matches, 1.27 and 0.73 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +1.
Renaissance Berkane: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 16 conceded in 18 matches, 1.17 and 0.89 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.0 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Maghreb Fès | Renaissance Berkane |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDWW | WWDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 5 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 11 | 18 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.27 / 0.73 | 1.17 / 0.89 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.73 | 1.94 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.6 | 35.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 35% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Maghreb Fès 48.6 versus Renaissance Berkane 35.0, a gap of 13.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 43%.
- First goal: Leans Maghreb Fès' way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Maghreb Fès is the nominal pick at 37%, but the three results sit close to even. Renaissance Berkane's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Maghreb Fès or Renaissance Berkane?
Maghreb Fès, with an implied win probability of roughly 37%. The full split is 37% Maghreb Fès, 28% the draw and 35% Renaissance Berkane.
When and where is Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane being played?
29 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane?
Renaissance Berkane 1-1 Maghreb Fès on 05 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Maghreb Fès and Renaissance Berkane?
Maghreb Fès have taken 8 points from their last five (DLDWW), Renaissance Berkane 9 from theirs (WWDDD). Most recently Maghreb Fès took a 1-1 draw at home to ASEC Mimosas and Renaissance Berkane a 1-0 win at home to Star Sport Academy.
How many goals are expected in Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.60 for Maghreb Fès and 1.40 for Renaissance Berkane. It rates over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 43%, so its call is no.