Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Difaa EL Jadida the pick at 52% for Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Difaa EL Jadida host UTS Rabat on 30 October 2026. Difaa EL Jadida are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 6 fixture in Botola Pro is listed as Difaa EL Jadida - UTS Rabat. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Difaa EL Jadida: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 11 conceded in eleven matches, 0.91 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of 0.
UTS Rabat: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 13 conceded in nine matches, 0.78 and 1.44 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Difaa EL Jadida | UTS Rabat |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 8th |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLL | LLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 12 | 3 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 11 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.91 / 1.0 | 0.78 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.09 | 0.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.3 | 48.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 19% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.60, over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 44%.
- First goal: Leans Difaa EL Jadida's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Difaa EL Jadida at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Difaa EL Jadida's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Difaa EL Jadida or UTS Rabat?
Difaa EL Jadida, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Difaa EL Jadida, 29% the draw and 19% UTS Rabat.
When and where is Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat being played?
30 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat?
Difaa EL Jadida 1-0 UTS Rabat on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat?
Difaa EL Jadida have taken 7 points from their last five (DWWLL), UTS Rabat 7 from theirs (LLDWW). Most recently Difaa EL Jadida took a 1-1 draw away at Kawkab Marrakech and UTS Rabat a 0-1 defeat at home to Wydad AC.
How many goals are expected in Difaa EL Jadida vs UTS Rabat?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.60 — 0.80 for Difaa EL Jadida and 0.80 for UTS Rabat. It rates over 2.5 goals at 35%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 44%, so its call is no.