Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Wydad AC the pick at 66% for Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Wydad AC face Moghreb Tetouan on 31 October 2026 at Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca. Wydad AC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 66%. This matchday 6 fixture in Botola Pro is listed as Wydad AC - Moghreb Tetouan. Kick-off is 18:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Wydad AC: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.9 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +1.
Moghreb Tetouan: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three draws before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored two and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Wydad AC | Moghreb Tetouan |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 15th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDWL | LLDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 2 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.9 | 33.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 66% | 11% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Wydad AC 51.9 versus Moghreb Tetouan 33.5, a gap of 18.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Wydad AC's way at 67%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Wydad AC at 66%, a gap of 42 percentage points to the next outcome. Wydad AC's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Wydad AC's way, especially at Stade Mohamed V.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Wydad AC or Moghreb Tetouan?
Wydad AC, with an implied win probability of roughly 66%. The full split is 66% Wydad AC, 23% the draw and 11% Moghreb Tetouan.
When and where is Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan being played?
31 October 2026 at Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Have Wydad AC and Moghreb Tetouan met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Wydad AC and Moghreb Tetouan?
Wydad AC have taken 8 points from their last five (WDDWL), Moghreb Tetouan 3 from theirs (LLDDD). Most recently Wydad AC took a 1-0 win away at UTS Rabat and Moghreb Tetouan a 0-3 defeat at home to Widad Témara.
How many goals are expected in Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 1.40 for Wydad AC and 0.00 for Moghreb Tetouan. It rates over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.